Bayelsa United 53%Draw 19%Kwara United 28%Expected goals 1.47 – 0.72
82%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultBayelsa United to win ✓53% · fair 1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bayelsa United welcome Kwara United to Sapele Township Stadium for a NPFL fixture on Sunday 24 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Bayelsa United are 19th, in the drop zone, on 43 points after 38 matches; Kwara United are 12th (lower half) with 50.
Current form
Bayelsa United, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Katsina United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Kwara United, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Barau FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kwara United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Bayelsa United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bayelsa United 1.5 xG, Kwara United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bayelsa United 53%, draw 19%, Kwara United 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayelsa United 1–0 Kwara United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bayelsa United53%fair 1.88
Draw19%fair 5.30
Kwara United28%fair 3.58
2.19Expected goals
1.47Bayelsa United xG
0.72Kwara United xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Bayelsa United 1.5 – 0.7 Kwara United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
Attack vs NPFL average
+13%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.81
0.59
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayelsa United to win✓
53%
1.88
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Bayelsa United (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Kwara United +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Bayelsa United to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayelsa United / FT Bayelsa United✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Recent results
Bayelsa United – last 6
LLWLWL
19 Apr
@ Katsina United
2–3
L
6 Apr
@ Abia Warriors
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Kano Pillars
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Plateau United
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Warri Wolves
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kwara United – last 6
WWLDWL
19 Apr
vs Barau FC
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs El Kanemi Warriors
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Remo Stars
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Enugu Rangers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Katsina United
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Abia Warriors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayelsa United and Kwara United.
What is the prediction for Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.
Who will win Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
On our numbers Bayelsa United have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kwara United 28%.
How many goals will there be in Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
Our predicted score is Bayelsa United 1–0 Kwara United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapele Township Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
