Barau FC 53%Draw 24%Nasarawa United 23%Expected goals 1.20 – 0.58
89%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.12 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarau FC to win ✓53% · fair 1.90
Double chanceBarau FC or draw ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.93
Barau FC vs Nasarawa United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nasarawa United travel to face Barau FC on Sunday 24 May in the NPFL, with Sani Abacha Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Barau FC are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 38 matches; Nasarawa United are 5th (upper half) with 56.
Current form
Barau FC, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kwara United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nasarawa United, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kun Khalifat FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barau FC 1.2 xG, Nasarawa United 0.6 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barau FC 53%, draw 24%, Nasarawa United 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (89%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barau FC 1–0 Nasarawa United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barau FC53%fair 1.90
Draw24%fair 4.14
Nasarawa United23%fair 4.31
1.78Expected goals
1.20Barau FC xG
0.58Nasarawa United xG
36%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barau FC 1.2 – 0.6 Nasarawa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
Attack vs NPFL average
-5%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.52
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barau FC to win✓
53%
1.90
–
Double chance
Barau FC or draw✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
–
Draw no bet
Barau FC (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Nasarawa United +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Barau FC to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barau FC / FT Barau FC✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.93
–
Recent results
Barau FC – last 6
LDDWWL
19 Apr
@ Kwara United
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Enugu Rangers
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Katsina United
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Abia Warriors
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Plateau United
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Rivers United
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nasarawa United – last 6
DWLLWL
5 Apr
vs Kun Khalifat FC
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Rivers United
4–1
W
15 Mar
@ Remo Stars
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Enugu Rangers
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bendel Insurance
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Katsina United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barau FC and Nasarawa United.
What is the prediction for Barau FC vs Nasarawa United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 89% chance.
Who will win Barau FC vs Nasarawa United?
On our numbers Barau FC have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nasarawa United 23%.
How many goals will there be in Barau FC vs Nasarawa United?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barau FC vs Nasarawa United?
Our predicted score is Barau FC 1–0 Nasarawa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Barau FC vs Nasarawa United?
Barau FC vs Nasarawa United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sani Abacha Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
