Cimarrones vs Durango: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Cimarrones v Durango in the Liga Premier Serie A, played at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari.
Current form
Cimarrones, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Reboceros La Piedad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Durango, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Ensenada, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cimarrones 1.2 xG, Durango 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cimarrones 29%, draw 26%, Durango 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cimarrones 1–1 Durango. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cimarrones29%fair 3.46 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.40
Durango45%fair 2.22 · @1.90
2.65Expected goals
1.24Cimarrones xG
1.40Durango xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cimarrones 1.2 – 1.4 Durango expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Durango to win✗
45%
2.22
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Durango (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Cimarrones +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Durango to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Durango / FT Durango✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Cimarrones – last 5
WWWDW
22 Mar
@ Reboceros La Piedad
3–2
W
14 Mar
vs Colima
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Los Cabos United
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Tigres de Alica
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Tritons Vallarta
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Durango – last 4
WWWW
21 Mar
vs Ensenada
6–0
W
7 Mar
vs UA Zacatecas
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Colima
4–1
W
17 Feb
vs Leones Negros
1–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cimarrones and Durango.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cimarrones vs Durango?
On our numbers Cimarrones have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Durango 45%.
How many goals will there be in Cimarrones vs Durango?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cimarrones vs Durango?
Our predicted score is Cimarrones 1–1 Durango, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cimarrones vs Durango?
Cimarrones vs Durango (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tritons Vallarta2
Los Cabos United0