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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Karsiyaka v Ayvalikgucu: numbers & prediction

3. Lig Group 4 · Turkey · Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı
2–0
FT
Karsiyaka 47%Draw 26%Ayvalikgucu 27% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.92
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultKarsiyaka to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61

Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ayvalikgucu travel to face Karsiyaka on Saturday 14 March in the 3. Lig Group 4, with Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.

Current form

Karsiyaka, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Uşak Spor, away. 5.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ayvalikgucu, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tire 2021 FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Karsiyaka, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Ayvalikgucu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karsiyaka 1.5 xG, Ayvalikgucu 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karsiyaka 47%, draw 26%, Ayvalikgucu 27%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karsiyaka 1–0 Ayvalikgucu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karsiyaka47%fair 2.11 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Ayvalikgucu27%fair 3.72 · @2.88
2.46Expected goals
1.53Karsiyaka xG
0.92Ayvalikgucu xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Karsiyaka 1.5 – 0.9 Ayvalikgucu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarsiyaka to win ✓47%2.112.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.79–
Draw no betKarsiyaka (draw no bet) ✓64%1.57–
Asian handicapAyvalikgucu +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreKarsiyaka to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karsiyaka / FT Karsiyaka ✓31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.61–

Recent results

Karsiyaka – last 3

WWW
7 Mar@ Uşak Spor2–1W
1 Marvs Altay3–1W
22 Feb@ Nazilli Spor10–0W
5.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ayvalikgucu – last 4

WWWL
7 Marvs Tire 2021 FK2–1W
1 Mar@ Söke 19701–0W
22 Febvs Bornova 18772–1W
15 Feb@ Eskişehirspor0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Karsiyaka and Ayvalikgucu.

Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?

On our numbers Karsiyaka have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ayvalikgucu 27%.

How many goals will there be in Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?

Our predicted score is Karsiyaka 1–0 Ayvalikgucu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?

Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu (3. Lig Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.