Septemvri Sofia vs Montana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Septemvri Sofia welcome Montana to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Monday 16 February (14:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.5 xG, Montana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 41%, draw 27%, Montana 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Montana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia41%fair 2.43 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
Montana32%fair 3.14 · @2.70
2.58Expected goals
1.47Septemvri Sofia xG
1.12Montana xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.5 – 1.1 Montana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Septemvri Sofia to win✓
41%
2.43
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Septemvri Sofia (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Montana +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Septemvri Sofia to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Septemvri Sofia
No recent results on record.
Montana
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Montana.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Montana 32%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Montana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Septemvri Sofia vs Montana (First League) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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