Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLudogorets to win ✗55% · @1.50
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✗79% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 February the First League brings Botev Plovdiv against Ludogorets at Stadion Hristo Botev. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 1.1 xG, Ludogorets 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 21%, draw 24%, Ludogorets 55%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Plovdiv21%fair 4.72 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.80
Ludogorets55%fair 1.82 · @1.50
2.81Expected goals
1.14Botev Plovdiv xG
1.68Ludogorets xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.1 – 1.7 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
55%
1.82
1.50
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Ludogorets (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Botev Plovdiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Ludogorets to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Botev Plovdiv – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ludogorets – last 2
WW
19 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beroe
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Ludogorets.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ludogorets 55%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
