Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗49% · @1.85
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Beroe vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:15 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Beroe v Arda Kardzhali in the First League, played at Stadion Beroe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.1 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 25%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 49%.
Lower-risk option: Arda Kardzhali or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beroe25%fair 3.99 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali49%fair 2.02 · @1.85
2.53Expected goals
1.10Beroe xG
1.43Arda Kardzhali xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Beroe 1.1 – 1.4 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win✗
49%
2.02
1.85
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Beroe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Arda Kardzhali to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Beroe – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for Beroe vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Beroe vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Beroe have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arda Kardzhali 49%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Beroe 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Beroe vs Arda Kardzhali?
Beroe vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
