Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗53% · @1.62
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botev Vratsa travel to face Cherno More Varna on Friday 20 February in the First League, with Ticha the venue – the ball rolls at 16:45 WAT. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Botev Vratsa are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 1.3 xG, Botev Vratsa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 53%, draw 27%, Botev Vratsa 20%.
Lower-risk option: Cherno More Varna or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 1–1 Botev Vratsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna53%fair 1.88 · @1.62
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.50
Botev Vratsa20%fair 4.95 · @5.25
2.09Expected goals
1.29Cherno More Varna xG
0.80Botev Vratsa xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.3 – 0.8 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✗
53%
1.88
1.62
Double chance
Cherno More Varna or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Cherno More Varna (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Botev Vratsa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Cherno More Varna to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Cherno More Varna – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Botev Vratsa – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Dobrudzha
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and Botev Vratsa.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botev Vratsa 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–1 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
