Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the First League brings Lokomotiv Sofia against Septemvri Sofia at Stadion Lokomotiv. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slavia Sofia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Septemvri Sofia, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 56%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia56%fair 1.78 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.65
Septemvri Sofia19%fair 5.13 · @5.00
2.69Expected goals
1.67Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.02Septemvri Sofia xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 – 1.0 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✓
56%
1.78
1.60
Double chance
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Septemvri Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Sofia to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✓
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 5
DLWLD
13 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Septemvri Sofia – last 3
LLW
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Septemvri Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Septemvri Sofia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
