Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓71% · @1.30
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Levski Sofia welcome Lokomotiv Sofia to Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov for a First League fixture on Sunday 1 March (16:15 WAT). In the table, Levski Sofia are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 13 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levski Sofia 2.2 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levski Sofia 71%, draw 19%, Lokomotiv Sofia 10%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levski Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levski Sofia71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.60
Lokomotiv Sofia10%fair 10.38 · @8.40
2.82Expected goals
2.16Levski Sofia xG
0.66Lokomotiv Sofia xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 2.2 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Levski Sofia (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Levski Sofia -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Levski Sofia to score first
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Levski Sofia – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lokomotiv Sofia 10%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
