Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLudogorets to win ✗63% · @1.36
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv travel to face Ludogorets on Monday 2 March in the First League, with Huvepharma Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ludogorets, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ferencvarosi TC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.8 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 63%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets63%fair 1.59 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.40
Lokomotiv Plovdiv14%fair 7.16 · @7.00
2.47Expected goals
1.75Ludogorets xG
0.72Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.8 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
63%
1.59
1.36
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Ludogorets (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Ludogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ludogorets to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Ludogorets – last 4
LLWW
26 Feb
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beroe
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
