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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · National Stadium Vasil Levski
CSKA Sofia 68%Draw 19%Lokomotiv Sofia 12% Expected goals 2.13 – 0.74
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 March the First League brings CSKA Sofia against Lokomotiv Sofia at National Stadium Vasil Levski. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, CSKA Sofia are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dobrudzha, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 2.1 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 68%, draw 19%, Lokomotiv Sofia 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA Sofia68%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.10
Lokomotiv Sofia12%fair 8.01 · @6.75
2.87Expected goals
2.13CSKA Sofia xG
0.74Lokomotiv Sofia xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 2.1 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Sofia to win ✓68%1.461.40
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betCSKA Sofia (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapCSKA Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreCSKA Sofia to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultCSKA Sofia ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia ✓45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

CSKA Sofia – last 2

WW
4 Marvs Botev Vratsa1–0W
21 Febvs Slavia Sofia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 3

WLD
5 Marvs Dobrudzha3–1W
1 Mar@ Levski Sofia3–4L
13 Feb@ Spartak Varna2–2D
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CSKA Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia.

CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lokomotiv Sofia 12%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.