CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the First League brings CSKA Sofia against Lokomotiv Sofia at National Stadium Vasil Levski. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, CSKA Sofia are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dobrudzha, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 2.1 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 68%, draw 19%, Lokomotiv Sofia 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Sofia68%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.10
Lokomotiv Sofia12%fair 8.01 · @6.75
2.87Expected goals
2.13CSKA Sofia xG
0.74Lokomotiv Sofia xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 2.1 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
CSKA Sofia (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
CSKA Sofia to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
CSKA Sofia – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 3
WLD
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lokomotiv Sofia 12%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.