Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Varna travel to face Slavia Sofia on Friday 6 March in the First League, with Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Slavia Sofia are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Slavia Sofia, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Beroe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Spartak Varna, last 4: WLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Montana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slavia Sofia 1.6 xG, Spartak Varna 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slavia Sofia 57%, draw 26%, Spartak Varna 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slavia Sofia57%fair 1.76 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
Spartak Varna17%fair 5.80 · @4.80
2.39Expected goals
1.59Slavia Sofia xG
0.80Spartak Varna xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.6 – 0.8 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Sofia to win✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Double chance
Slavia Sofia or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Slavia Sofia (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Varna +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Slavia Sofia to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Slavia Sofia – last 3
WLL
3 Mar
@ Beroe
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs CSKA 1948
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 4
WLDD
3 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spartak Varna 17%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
