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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Huvepharma Arena
Sat 14 Mar 2026
Ludogorets 51%Draw 27%CSKA Sofia 22% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.07
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.83

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win51% · @1.75
Double chanceLudogorets or draw78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.70

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ludogorets welcome CSKA Sofia to Huvepharma Arena for a First League fixture on Saturday 14 March (16:45 WAT). In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; CSKA Sofia are 1st (leading the league) with 34.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Montana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

CSKA Sofia, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lokomotiv Sofia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Ludogorets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.5 xG, CSKA Sofia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 51%, draw 27%, CSKA Sofia 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ludogorets or draw (78%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets51%fair 1.96 · @1.75
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.20
CSKA Sofia22%fair 4.49 · @4.40
2.62Expected goals
1.55Ludogorets xG
1.07CSKA Sofia xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.5 – 1.1 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win51%1.961.75
Double chanceLudogorets or draw78%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.901.83
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet)70%1.44–
Asian handicapCSKA Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.14–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.70–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

WWDLLW
9 Mar@ Montana3–0W
5 Marvs Levski Sofia1–0W
2 Marvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–1D
26 Feb@ Ferencvarosi TC0–2L
23 Feb@ Botev Plovdiv1–2L
19 Febvs Ferencvarosi TC2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CSKA Sofia – last 3

WWW
8 Marvs Lokomotiv Sofia2–0W
4 Marvs Botev Vratsa1–0W
21 Febvs Slavia Sofia1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and CSKA Sofia.

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CSKA Sofia 22%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.