Septemvri Sofia 33%Draw 28%Botev Vratsa 40%Expected goals 1.12 – 1.14
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.13
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Septemvri Sofia v Botev Vratsa in the First League, played at Stadion Dragalevtsi. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Botev Vratsa are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Botev Vratsa, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.1 xG, Botev Vratsa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 33%, draw 28%, Botev Vratsa 40%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia33%fair 3.05 · @2.95
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Botev Vratsa40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
2.26Expected goals
1.12Septemvri Sofia xG
1.14Botev Vratsa xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.1 – 1.1 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Vratsa to win✗
40%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Botev Vratsa (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Septemvri Sofia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Botev Vratsa to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa✗
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.13
–
Recent results
Septemvri Sofia – last 5
LLLLW
21 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
1–4
L
17 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
0.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Botev Vratsa – last 5
LLDDD
22 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Beroe
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Dobrudzha
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Botev Vratsa.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Botev Vratsa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
