Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the First League brings Lokomotiv Plovdiv against Lokomotiv Sofia at Stadion Lokomotiv. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Botev Vratsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.4 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Sofia 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.90
Lokomotiv Sofia29%fair 3.50 · @3.10
2.35Expected goals
1.37Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.97Lokomotiv Sofia xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.4 – 1.0 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win✓
44%
2.29
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Plovdiv (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Plovdiv / FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
WWLLDD
22 Mar
@ Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs CSKA 1948
0–5
L
2 Mar
@ Ludogorets
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
WDLWLD
17 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lokomotiv Sofia 29%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
