Cherno More Varna 48%Draw 27%Slavia Sofia 24%Expected goals 1.13 – 0.96
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗48% · @1.62
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✗76% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Slavia Sofia travel to face Cherno More Varna on Sunday 5 April in the First League, with Ticha the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Slavia Sofia are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cherno More Varna, last 4: WDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Montana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Slavia Sofia, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Botev Plovdiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 1.1 xG, Slavia Sofia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 48%, draw 27%, Slavia Sofia 24%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 1–0 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna48%fair 2.07 · @1.62
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.40
Slavia Sofia24%fair 4.12 · @5.25
2.08Expected goals
1.13Cherno More Varna xG
0.96Slavia Sofia xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.1 – 1.0 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✗
48%
2.07
1.62
Double chance
Cherno More Varna or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.65
Draw no bet
Cherno More Varna (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Slavia Sofia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cherno More Varna to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Recent results
Cherno More Varna – last 4
WDDD
15 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 6
LDWWLL
20 Mar
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Spartak Varna
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Beroe
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs CSKA 1948
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Slavia Sofia 24%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–0 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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