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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Plovdiv v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Hristo Botev
1–1
FT
Botev Plovdiv 52%Draw 27%Lokomotiv Plovdiv 21% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.84
79%
Betarazi pick

Botev Plovdiv or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗52% · @1.85
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv travel to face Botev Plovdiv on Wednesday 8 April in the First League, with Stadion Hristo Botev the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Slavia Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 1.4 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 52%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Botev Plovdiv or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Botev Plovdiv or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Plovdiv52%fair 1.93 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Lokomotiv Plovdiv21%fair 4.76 · @3.80
2.29Expected goals
1.44Botev Plovdiv xG
0.84Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.4 – 0.8 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗52%1.931.85
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.85
Draw no betBotev Plovdiv (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapLokomotiv Plovdiv +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreBotev Plovdiv to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv ✗30%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.81–

Recent results

Botev Plovdiv – last 6

WDWDWL
20 Mar@ Slavia Sofia1–0W
8 Mar@ CSKA 19480–0D
3 Marvs Septemvri Sofia2–0W
27 Feb@ Montana0–0D
23 Febvs Ludogorets2–1W
15 Feb@ Levski Sofia0–3L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

WWWLLD
3 Aprvs Lokomotiv Sofia1–0W
22 Mar@ Botev Vratsa2–1W
13 Marvs Septemvri Sofia1–0W
9 Mar@ Levski Sofia0–1L
5 Marvs CSKA 19480–5L
2 Mar@ Ludogorets1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our pick is Botev Plovdiv or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 21%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.