Value bet: Spartak Varna to win @ 3.10 – our chance 42% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓42% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Varna welcome Dobrudzha to Stadion Spartak for a First League fixture on Friday 10 April (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Ludogorets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Dobrudzha, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Levski Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Dobrudzha, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Spartak Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.6 xG, Dobrudzha 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 42%, draw 25%, Dobrudzha 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Spartak Varna to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Dobrudzha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna42%fair 2.41 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Dobrudzha34%fair 2.95 · @2.25
2.73Expected goals
1.58Spartak Varna xG
1.15Dobrudzha xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.6 – 1.2 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Varna to win✓
42%
2.41
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Spartak Varna (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Dobrudzha +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Spartak Varna to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Spartak Varna – last 6
LLLWLD
19 Mar
vs Ludogorets
1–5
L
14 Mar
vs CSKA 1948
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Slavia Sofia
0–4
L
3 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dobrudzha – last 6
DLLWLW
5 Apr
vs Levski Sofia
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Beroe
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Varna and Dobrudzha.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dobrudzha 34%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
