Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botev Vratsa welcome Lokomotiv Sofia to Hristo Botev Stadium for a First League fixture on Tuesday 14 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Botev Vratsa, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CSKA 1948, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Beroe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Sofia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Botev Vratsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.2 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 36%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Sofia 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Vratsa36%fair 2.79 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
Lokomotiv Sofia39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
2.47Expected goals
1.25Botev Vratsa xG
1.22Lokomotiv Sofia xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.2 – 1.2 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✗
39%
2.59
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv Sofia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Botev Vratsa to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.72
–
Recent results
Botev Vratsa – last 6
LDLLDD
10 Apr
@ CSKA 1948
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Beroe
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
WLWDLW
9 Apr
vs Beroe
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lokomotiv Sofia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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