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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beroe v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Beroe

Beroe

LWLLL
0–0
FT
Beroe 29%Draw 28%Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.24
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22

Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 13 April the First League brings Beroe against Lokomotiv Plovdiv at Stadion Beroe. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Beroe, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lokomotiv Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botev Plovdiv, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Lokomotiv Plovdiv, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Beroe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.0 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 29%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 0–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beroe29%fair 3.48 · @3.30
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.20
Lokomotiv Plovdiv44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
2.21Expected goals
0.97Beroe xG
1.24Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Beroe 1.0 – 1.2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗44%2.292.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.85
Draw no betLokomotiv Plovdiv (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapBeroe +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreLokomotiv Plovdiv to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv Plovdiv / FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.22–

Recent results

Beroe – last 6

LWLLLD
9 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–2L
22 Mar@ Montana1–0W
15 Marvs Levski Sofia0–1L
8 Mar@ Dobrudzha0–1L
3 Marvs Slavia Sofia0–3L
28 Feb@ Botev Vratsa0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

DWWWLL
8 Apr@ Botev Plovdiv1–1D
3 Aprvs Lokomotiv Sofia1–0W
22 Mar@ Botev Vratsa2–1W
13 Marvs Septemvri Sofia1–0W
9 Mar@ Levski Sofia0–1L
5 Marvs CSKA 19480–5L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

On our numbers Beroe have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44%.

How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our predicted score is Beroe 0–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.