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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Etar Veliko Tarnovo v Fratria: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Ivajlo Stadion
Etar Veliko Tarnovo 29%Draw 24%Fratria 46% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.48
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.80Odds
1

Value bet: Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFratria to win ✗46% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 17 February the Second League brings Etar Veliko Tarnovo against Fratria at Ivajlo Stadion. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Etar Veliko Tarnovo are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Fratria are 4th (among the top four) with 25.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1.3 xG, Fratria 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Etar Veliko Tarnovo 29%, draw 24%, Fratria 46%.
  • Price worth noting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–2 Fratria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Etar Veliko Tarnovo29%fair 3.43 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
Fratria46%fair 2.15 · @1.85
2.75Expected goals
1.27Etar Veliko Tarnovo xG
1.48Fratria xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1.3 – 1.5 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Etar Veliko TarnovoFratria
Attack vs Second League average+7%+20%
Goals conceded vs average+4%-15%
Our expected goals here1.531.46

Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFratria to win ✗46%2.151.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betFratria (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapEtar Veliko Tarnovo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreFratria to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fratria / FT Fratria ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

No recent results on record.

Fratria

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Fratria.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria?

On our numbers Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fratria 46%.

How many goals will there be in Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria?

Our predicted score is Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–2 Fratria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Ivajlo Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.