CSKA Sofia II 68%Draw 18%Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%Expected goals 2.70 – 0.80
86%
Betarazi pick
CSKA Sofia II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: CSKA Sofia II to win @ 1.75 – our chance 68% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Sofia II to win ✓68% · @1.75
Double chanceCSKA Sofia II or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.35
CSKA Sofia II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSKA Sofia II welcome Pirin Blagoevgrad to Stadion Dragalevtsi for a Second League fixture on Monday 9 March (14:30 WAT). In the table, CSKA Sofia II are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 15 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia II 2.7 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia II 68%, draw 18%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
Lower-risk option: CSKA Sofia II or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: CSKA Sofia II to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 68%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CSKA Sofia II or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia II 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Sofia II68%fair 1.47 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @3.30
Pirin Blagoevgrad14%fair 7.18 · @4.00
3.49Expected goals
2.70CSKA Sofia II xG
0.80Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: CSKA Sofia II 2.7 – 0.8 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
CSKA Sofia II
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Attack vs Second League average
+39%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
+53%
Our expected goals here
3.56
0.51
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia II to win✓
68%
1.47
1.75 ▲
Double chance
CSKA Sofia II or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
CSKA Sofia II (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Sofia II -1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
CSKA Sofia II to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia II ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia II / FT CSKA Sofia II✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
CSKA Sofia II – last 2
WD
2 Mar
@ Belasitsa
6–2
W
16 Feb
@ Vihren
0–0
D
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 2
DW
28 Feb
vs Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Sofia II and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia II or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CSKA Sofia II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers CSKA Sofia II have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia II 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is CSKA Sofia II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
CSKA Sofia II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
