Value bet: Vihren to win @ 2.75 – our chance 49% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVihren to win ✓49% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pirin Blagoevgrad welcome Vihren to Hristo Botev for a Second League fixture on Sunday 15 March (11:00 WAT). In the table, Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Vihren are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CSKA Sofia II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Vihren, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Belasitsa, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Vihren, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.0 xG, Vihren 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pirin Blagoevgrad 30%, draw 21%, Vihren 49%.
Price worth noting: Vihren to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–2 Vihren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pirin Blagoevgrad30%fair 3.37 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Vihren49%fair 2.05 · @2.75
2.91Expected goals
1.02Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
1.89Vihren xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.0 – 1.9 Vihren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Vihren
Attack vs Second League average
-42%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
+53%
-28%
Our expected goals here
0.70
2.23
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vihren to win✓
49%
2.05
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Vihren (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Pirin Blagoevgrad +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Vihren to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Vihren ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vihren / FT Vihren✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 3
LDW
9 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vihren – last 4
WDWD
7 Mar
vs Belasitsa
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Ludogorets II
3–1
W
16 Feb
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pirin Blagoevgrad and Vihren.
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vihren 49%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–2 Vihren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
