Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarek to win ✗57% · @1.62
Double chanceMarek or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Marek vs Spartak Pleven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Pleven travel to face Marek on Sunday 29 March in the Second League, with Stadion Bonchuk the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Marek are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Spartak Pleven are 10th (lower half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marek, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yantra 2019, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Spartak Pleven, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Belasitsa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spartak Pleven, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Marek.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marek 1.6 xG, Spartak Pleven 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marek 57%, draw 25%, Spartak Pleven 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marek to win (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marek 1–0 Spartak Pleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marek57%fair 1.75 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.20
Spartak Pleven18%fair 5.60 · @5.00
2.43Expected goals
1.60Marek xG
0.83Spartak Pleven xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Marek 1.6 – 0.8 Spartak Pleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marek
Spartak Pleven
Attack vs Second League average
-15%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.55
0.89
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marek to win✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Double chance
Marek or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Marek (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Pleven +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Marek to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marek / FT Marek✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Marek – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
vs Yantra 2019
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Fratria
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Sevlievo
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Pleven – last 3
WDL
25 Mar
vs Belasitsa
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Dunav Ruse
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Spartak Pleven.
What is the prediction for Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
Our pick is Marek to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
On our numbers Marek have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Pleven 18%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–0 Spartak Pleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
Marek vs Spartak Pleven (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dunav Ruse1
Belasitsa0