Value bet: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @ 1.78 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win ✓66% · @1.78
Double chanceChernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas v Pirin Blagoevgrad in the Second League, played at Gradski stadion. In the table, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, last 4: DWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dunav Ruse, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Belasitsa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2.2 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 66%, draw 20%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
Lower-risk option: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas66%fair 1.51 · @1.78
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.45
Pirin Blagoevgrad14%fair 7.27 · @3.82
2.91Expected goals
2.25Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
0.66Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2.2 – 0.7 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Attack vs Second League average
+20%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
+53%
Our expected goals here
3.09
0.51
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win✓
66%
1.51
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.72
Draw no bet
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.06
First team to score
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 4
DWDD
29 Mar
vs Dunav Ruse
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CSKA Sofia II
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs FK Minyor Pernik
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 5
WLLDW
29 Mar
vs Belasitsa
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Vihren
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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