Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Hebar 1918 to win @ 2.88 – our chance 46% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHebar 1918 to win ✗46% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pirin Blagoevgrad welcome Hebar 1918 to Hristo Botev for a Second League fixture on Thursday 16 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Hebar 1918 are 6th (upper half) with 23. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Hebar 1918, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Belasitsa, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Hebar 1918, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.2 xG, Hebar 1918 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pirin Blagoevgrad 31%, draw 23%, Hebar 1918 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Hebar 1918 to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Hebar 1918. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pirin Blagoevgrad31%fair 3.19 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Hebar 191846%fair 2.18 · @2.88
3.13Expected goals
1.23Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
1.90Hebar 1918 xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.2 – 1.9 Hebar 1918 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Hebar 1918
Attack vs Second League average
-42%
+34%
Goals conceded vs average
+53%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.10
2.39
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hebar 1918 to win✗
46%
2.18
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Hebar 1918 (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Pirin Blagoevgrad +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Hebar 1918 to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Hebar 1918 ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hebar 1918 / FT Hebar 1918✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
LWLLDW
9 Apr
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Belasitsa
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Vihren
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hebar 1918 – last 3
WWW
9 Apr
vs Belasitsa
4–3
W
21 Feb
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Yantra 2019
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pirin Blagoevgrad and Hebar 1918.
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hebar 1918 46%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Hebar 1918, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918 (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
