Value bet: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHebar 1918 to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Monday 27 April: Hebar 1918 v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in the Second League, played at Stadion Georgi Benkovski. In the table, Hebar 1918 are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Hebar 1918, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CSKA Sofia II, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ludogorets II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hebar 1918 1.5 xG, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hebar 1918 43%, draw 25%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 33%.
Price worth noting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hebar 1918 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hebar 191843%fair 2.35 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas33%fair 3.06 · @3.30
2.81Expected goals
1.49Hebar 1918 xG
1.32Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hebar 1918 1.5 – 1.3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hebar 1918
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Attack vs Second League average
+34%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.58
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hebar 1918 to win✗
43%
2.35
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Hebar 1918 (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Hebar 1918 to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hebar 1918 / FT Hebar 1918✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Hebar 1918 – last 5
LDWWW
22 Apr
@ CSKA Sofia II
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Belasitsa
4–3
W
21 Feb
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Yantra 2019
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
DWDWDD
16 Apr
vs Ludogorets II
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dunav Ruse
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CSKA Sofia II
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs FK Minyor Pernik
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hebar 1918 and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Hebar 1918 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 33%.
How many goals will there be in Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Hebar 1918 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
