Value bet: Vihren to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVihren to win ✓45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.46
Vihren vs Fratria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fratria travel to face Vihren on Monday 4 May in the Second League, with Spartak Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:45 WAT. In the table, Vihren are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Fratria are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Vihren, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sportist Svoge, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Fratria, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spartak Pleven, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vihren, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Fratria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vihren 1.7 xG, Fratria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vihren 45%, draw 26%, Fratria 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Vihren to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vihren 1–1 Fratria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vihren45%fair 2.24 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Fratria30%fair 3.36 · @2.75
2.83Expected goals
1.68Vihren xG
1.16Fratria xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Vihren 1.7 – 1.2 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vihren
Fratria
Attack vs Second League average
+25%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.79
1.01
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vihren to win✓
45%
2.24
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Draw no bet
Vihren (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Fratria +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Vihren to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vihren / FT Vihren✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Vihren – last 6
WLWWDW
16 Apr
vs Sportist Svoge
4–1
W
10 Apr
@ Marek
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Belasitsa
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Ludogorets II
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fratria – last 6
DWDDLW
16 Apr
@ Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
3–0
W
23 Mar
@ Yantra 2019
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Ludogorets II
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Sevlievo
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Sportist Svoge
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vihren and Fratria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vihren vs Fratria?
On our numbers Vihren have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fratria 30%.
How many goals will there be in Vihren vs Fratria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vihren vs Fratria?
Our predicted score is Vihren 1–1 Fratria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vihren vs Fratria?
Vihren vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
