Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFratria to win ✓74% · @1.31
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.13
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fratria welcome Pirin Blagoevgrad to Albena Stadium for a Second League fixture on Saturday 23 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Fratria are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fratria, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dunav Ruse, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sportist Svoge, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fratria, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fratria 2.5 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fratria 74%, draw 16%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 10%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.13.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.13 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fratria 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fratria74%fair 1.35 · @1.31
Draw16%fair 6.16 · @4.55
Pirin Blagoevgrad10%fair 10.18 · @7.70
3.09Expected goals
2.45Fratria xG
0.63Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Fratria 2.5 – 0.6 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fratria
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Attack vs Second League average
+20%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+53%
Our expected goals here
3.08
0.58
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fratria to win✓
74%
1.35
1.31
Double chance
Fratria or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.13 ▲
Draw no bet
Fratria (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Fratria -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.10
First team to score
Fratria to score first✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Fratria ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fratria / FT Fratria✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Fratria – last 6
DLDWDD
11 May
vs Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
4 May
@ Vihren
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
3–0
W
23 Mar
@ Yantra 2019
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Ludogorets II
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
LDLWLL
11 May
@ Sportist Svoge
0–2
L
16 Apr
vs Hebar 1918
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Belasitsa
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Vihren
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fratria and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Fratria have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 10%.
How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Fratria 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Minyor Pernik1
Dunav Ruse2
Sevlievo3