PSVEindhoven W 54%Draw 24%Ajax W 22%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.23
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPSVEindhoven W to win ✗54% · @1.77
Double chancePSVEindhoven W or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
PSVEindhoven W vs Ajax W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Eredivisie Women brings PSVEindhoven W against Ajax W at De Herdgang. Kick-off: 11:15 WAT. In the table, PSVEindhoven W are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Ajax W are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
PSVEindhoven W, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over NAC Breda W, at home. Scoring is no problem – 4.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Ajax W, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over PEC Zwolle W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours PSVEindhoven W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Ajax W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSVEindhoven W 1.9 xG, Ajax W 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSVEindhoven W 54%, draw 24%, Ajax W 22%.
Lower-risk option: PSVEindhoven W or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSVEindhoven W 1–1 Ajax W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSVEindhoven W54%fair 1.85 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.55
Ajax W22%fair 4.62 · @3.95
3.14Expected goals
1.90PSVEindhoven W xG
1.23Ajax W xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: PSVEindhoven W 1.9 – 1.2 Ajax W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSVEindhoven W to win✗
54%
1.85
1.77
Double chance
PSVEindhoven W or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
PSVEindhoven W (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Ajax W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
PSVEindhoven W to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
PSVEindhoven W ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSVEindhoven W / FT PSVEindhoven W✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
PSVEindhoven W – last 4
WWWW
29 Mar
vs NAC Breda W
4–1
W
12 Mar
@ Excelsior W
6–0
W
22 Feb
@ AZ
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs PEC Zwolle W
3–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ajax W – last 4
WWWD
29 Mar
vs PEC Zwolle W
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ NAC Breda W
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Utrecht W
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Twente W
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSVEindhoven W and Ajax W.
What is the prediction for PSVEindhoven W vs Ajax W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PSVEindhoven W vs Ajax W?
On our numbers PSVEindhoven W have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ajax W 22%.
How many goals will there be in PSVEindhoven W vs Ajax W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSVEindhoven W vs Ajax W?
Our predicted score is PSVEindhoven W 1–1 Ajax W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is PSVEindhoven W vs Ajax W?
PSVEindhoven W vs Ajax W (Eredivisie Women) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
