Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Città di Varese vs Ligorna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Città di Varese v Ligorna in the Serie D Girone A, played at Stadio Franco Ossola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Città di Varese 1.2 xG, Ligorna 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Città di Varese 31%, draw 25%, Ligorna 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Città di Varese 1–1 Ligorna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Città di Varese31%fair 3.20 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Ligorna43%fair 2.31 · @2.33
2.72Expected goals
1.20Città di Varese xG
1.52Ligorna xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Città di Varese 1.2 – 1.5 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
43%
2.31
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Città di Varese +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Città di Varese
No recent results on record.
Ligorna
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Varese and Ligorna.
What is the prediction for Città di Varese vs Ligorna?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Città di Varese have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ligorna 43%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Varese vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Varese vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Città di Varese 1–1 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Città di Varese vs Ligorna?
Città di Varese vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Franco Ossola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lavagnese0
Club Milano0
Vado4
NovaRomentin0
Cairese1