Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
Lavagnese vs Derthona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Serie D Girone A brings Lavagnese against Derthona at Stadio Edoardo Riboli. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lavagnese 1.3 xG, Derthona 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lavagnese 39%, draw 27%, Derthona 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lavagnese 1–1 Derthona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lavagnese39%fair 2.54 · @2.35
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Derthona34%fair 2.94 · @2.75
2.49Expected goals
1.30Lavagnese xG
1.18Derthona xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lavagnese 1.3 – 1.2 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lavagnese to win✗
39%
2.54
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Lavagnese (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Derthona +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Lavagnese to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lavagnese / FT Lavagnese✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.23
–
Recent results
Lavagnese – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Derthona – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Chisola
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lavagnese and Derthona.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lavagnese vs Derthona?
On our numbers Lavagnese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Derthona 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lavagnese vs Derthona?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lavagnese vs Derthona?
Our predicted score is Lavagnese 1–1 Derthona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lavagnese vs Derthona?
Lavagnese vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Edoardo Riboli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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