Ligorna v Biellese Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLigorna to win ✓53% · @1.70

Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓78% · @1.14

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85

Ligorna vs Biellese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ligorna welcome Biellese to Campo Sportivo Ligorna for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Ligorna are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Biellese are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ligorna, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cairese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Biellese, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Milano, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Biellese, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Ligorna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.6 xG, Biellese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 53%, draw 25%, Biellese 22%.
Lower-risk option: Ligorna or draw (78%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–1 Biellese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ligorna53%fair 1.87 · @1.70

Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.40

Biellese22%fair 4.60 · @4.33

2.65Expected goals

1.60Ligorna xG

1.05Biellese xG

46%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

2–09%

0–17%

0–07%

From our goals model: Ligorna 1.6 – 1.1 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ligorna to win ✓	53%	1.87	1.70
Double chance	Ligorna or draw ✓	78%	1.28	1.14
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	Ligorna (draw no bet) ✓	71%	1.41	–
Asian handicap	Biellese +1 (Asian handicap)	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Ligorna to score first	56%	1.79	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna ✗	30%	3.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	8.85	–

Ligorna – last 6

DLWDLW

2 Apr	vs Cairese	0–0	D
29 Mar	@ Valenzana	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Lavagnese	2–1	W
15 Mar	@ Vado	0–0	D
1 Mar	vs Gozzano	0–1	L
22 Feb	vs Club Milano	5–1	W

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Biellese – last 6

DWWWWL

2 Apr	@ Club Milano	1–1	D
22 Mar	@ Imperia	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Celle Varazze	6–1	W
1 Mar	@ Derthona	3–0	W
22 Feb	vs Asti	1–0	W
15 Feb	@ Sanremese	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alessandria	11	10	0	1	+12	30
2	Chisola	11	6	3	2	+12	21
3	Biellese	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Derthona	11	5	4	2	+1	19
5	Ligorna	11	5	3	3	+5	18
6	Millesimo	11	5	2	4	+6	17
7	Sanremese	11	4	5	2	+4	17
8	Saluzzo	11	3	6	2	+1	15
9	Imperia	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Asti	11	4	2	5	-2	14
11	Gozzano	11	4	2	5	-4	14
12	Sestri Levante	11	3	4	4	-2	13
13	Borgosesia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Lascaris	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Fezzanese	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Bra	11	2	4	5	-7	10
17	Valenzana	11	1	3	7	-8	6
18	Celle Varazze	11	1	1	9	-15	4

Team

Pts

+12

+12

+10

-2

-4

-2

-2

-5

-7

-7

-8

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ligorna vs Biellese?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Ligorna vs Biellese?

On our numbers Ligorna have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Biellese 22%.

How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Biellese?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Biellese?

Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–1 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ligorna vs Biellese?

Ligorna vs Biellese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ligorna v Biellese: numbers & prediction