Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLigorna to win ✓70% · @1.44
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Serie D Girone A brings Ligorna against NovaRomentin at Campo Sportivo Ligorna. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Ligorna, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Asti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
NovaRomentin, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Vado, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for NovaRomentin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 2.4 xG, NovaRomentin 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 70%, draw 19%, NovaRomentin 11%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 2–0 NovaRomentin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna70%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.00
NovaRomentin11%fair 8.98 · @6.60
3.30Expected goals
2.44Ligorna xG
0.86NovaRomentin xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Ligorna 2.4 – 0.9 NovaRomentin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
70%
1.44
1.44
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Ligorna -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Ligorna – last 6
DWDLWD
26 Apr
@ Asti
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Biellese
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Cairese
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Valenzana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Lavagnese
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vado
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NovaRomentin – last 6
LLLLLW
26 Apr
vs Vado
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Club Milano
1–6
L
2 Apr
@ Sestri Levante
2–5
L
22 Mar
@ Saluzzo
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Sanremese
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ Celle Varazze
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and NovaRomentin.
What is the prediction for Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and NovaRomentin 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 2–0 NovaRomentin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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