Value bet: Castellanzese to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrusaporto to win ✓38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.71
Brusaporto vs Castellanzese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Brusaporto v Castellanzese in the Serie D Girone B, played at Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brusaporto 1.1 xG, Castellanzese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brusaporto 38%, draw 26%, Castellanzese 36%.
Price worth noting: Castellanzese to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brusaporto 1–1 Castellanzese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brusaporto38%fair 2.63 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
Castellanzese36%fair 2.77 · @3.30
2.40Expected goals
1.14Brusaporto xG
1.26Castellanzese xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Brusaporto 1.1 – 1.3 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusaporto to win✓
38%
2.63
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Brusaporto (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Brusaporto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Castellanzese to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.71
–
Recent results
Brusaporto – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Pavia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Castellanzese – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Villa Valle
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusaporto and Castellanzese.
What is the prediction for Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
On our numbers Brusaporto have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Castellanzese 36%.
How many goals will there be in Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
Our predicted score is Brusaporto 1–1 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
Brusaporto vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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