Varesina vs Castellanzese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 March the Serie D Girone B brings Varesina against Castellanzese at Campo Comunale. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Castellanzese, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vogherese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varesina 1.3 xG, Castellanzese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varesina 40%, draw 26%, Castellanzese 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varesina 1–1 Castellanzese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varesina40%fair 2.52 · @2.31
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.15
Castellanzese34%fair 2.91 · @2.76
2.53Expected goals
1.31Varesina xG
1.22Castellanzese xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Varesina 1.3 – 1.2 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varesina to win✗
40%
2.52
2.31
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.78
Draw no bet
Varesina (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Castellanzese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Varesina to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varesina / FT Varesina✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Varesina – last 2
DD
1 Mar
@ Pavia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Castellanzese – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Vogherese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Villa Valle
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varesina and Castellanzese.
What is the prediction for Varesina vs Castellanzese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Varesina vs Castellanzese?
On our numbers Varesina have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Castellanzese 34%.
How many goals will there be in Varesina vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varesina vs Castellanzese?
Our predicted score is Varesina 1–1 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Varesina vs Castellanzese?
Varesina vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
