Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultChievo to win ✓80% · @1.12
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.36
Chievo vs Vogherese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Chievo v Vogherese in the Serie D Girone B, played at Sinergy Stadium.
Current form
Chievo, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brusaporto, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Vogherese, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Leon Monza e Brianza, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chievo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Vogherese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chievo 2.8 xG, Vogherese 0.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 47% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chievo 80%, draw 14%, Vogherese 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chievo 3–0 Vogherese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chievo80%fair 1.25 · @1.12
Draw14%fair 6.97 · @6.50
Vogherese6%fair 17.69 · @19.00
3.50Expected goals
2.77Chievo xG
0.73Vogherese xG
47%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
2–18%
1–08%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Chievo 2.8 – 0.7 Vogherese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chievo to win✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Double chance
Chievo or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Chievo (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Chievo -1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
Chievo to score first✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Chievo ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chievo / FT Chievo✓
56%
1.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
9.36
–
Recent results
Chievo – last 4
WLWL
29 Mar
@ Brusaporto
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Real Calepina
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Sondrio
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Folgore Caratese
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Vogherese – last 4
LLLL
22 Mar
@ Leon Monza e Brianza
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Scanzorosciate
1–6
L
1 Mar
@ Castellanzese
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Villa Valle
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chievo and Vogherese.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Chievo vs Vogherese?
On our numbers Chievo have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Vogherese 6%.
How many goals will there be in Chievo vs Vogherese?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chievo vs Vogherese?
Our predicted score is Chievo 3–0 Vogherese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Chievo vs Vogherese?
Chievo vs Vogherese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sinergy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
