Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Picks by market
ResultLuparense to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceLuparense or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Luparense vs Brian Lignano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Luparense welcome Brian Lignano to Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée for a Serie D Girone C fixture on Sunday 15 February (14:30 WAT). In the table, Luparense are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Brian Lignano are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luparense 1.7 xG, Brian Lignano 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luparense 58%, draw 24%, Brian Lignano 18%.
Lower-risk option: Luparense or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Luparense to win (58%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luparense 1–0 Brian Lignano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luparense58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Brian Lignano18%fair 5.59 · @3.60
2.46Expected goals
1.72Luparense xG
0.74Brian Lignano xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Luparense 1.7 – 0.7 Brian Lignano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luparense to win✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Luparense or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Luparense (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Luparense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Luparense to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luparense / FT Luparense✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Recent results
Luparense
No recent results on record.
Brian Lignano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luparense and Brian Lignano.
What is the prediction for Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
Our pick is Luparense to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
On our numbers Luparense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brian Lignano 18%.
How many goals will there be in Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
Our predicted score is Luparense 1–0 Brian Lignano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
Luparense vs Brian Lignano (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.