Value bet: Calvi Noale to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMestre to win ✓43% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.37
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Calvi Noale vs Mestre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Calvi Noale v Mestre in the Serie D Girone C, played at Stadio Comunale "Azzurri d'Italia". In the table, Calvi Noale are 16th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 11 matches; Mestre are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Calvi Noale, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Obermais, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Mestre, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Adriese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mestre, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Calvi Noale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Calvi Noale 1.1 xG, Mestre 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Calvi Noale 30%, draw 27%, Mestre 43%.
Price worth noting: Calvi Noale to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (73%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Calvi Noale 0–1 Mestre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Calvi Noale30%fair 3.32 · @3.70
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
Mestre43%fair 2.33 · @1.96
2.25Expected goals
1.05Calvi Noale xG
1.20Mestre xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Calvi Noale 1.1 – 1.2 Mestre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mestre to win✓
43%
2.33
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Mestre (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Calvi Noale +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Mestre to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mestre / FT Mestre✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.92
–
Recent results
Calvi Noale – last 3
LLL
1 Mar
@ FC Obermais
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs San Luigi
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Treviso
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mestre – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Adriese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Bassano Virtus
1–4
L
15 Feb
vs Vigasio
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvi Noale and Mestre.
On our numbers Calvi Noale have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mestre 43%.
How many goals will there be in Calvi Noale vs Mestre?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvi Noale vs Mestre?
Our predicted score is Calvi Noale 0–1 Mestre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Calvi Noale vs Mestre?
Calvi Noale vs Mestre (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale "Azzurri d'Italia".
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Treviso1
Vigasio0