Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.32
Desenzano Calvina vs Trevigliese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Desenzano Calvina welcome Trevigliese to Stadio Tre Stelle for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 15 February (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Desenzano Calvina 1.6 xG, Trevigliese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Desenzano Calvina 58%, draw 25%, Trevigliese 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Desenzano Calvina to win (58%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Trevigliese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Desenzano Calvina58%fair 1.72 · @1.33
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @4.20
Trevigliese17%fair 5.99 · @7.80
2.43Expected goals
1.56Desenzano Calvina xG
0.88Trevigliese xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.6 – 0.9 Trevigliese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win
58%
1.72
1.33
Double chance
Desenzano Calvina or draw
83%
1.20
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Trevigliese +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Desenzano Calvina to score first
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.32
–
Recent results
Desenzano Calvina
No recent results on record.
Trevigliese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Trevigliese.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Trevigliese?
Our pick is Desenzano Calvina to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Trevigliese?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trevigliese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Trevigliese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Trevigliese?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Trevigliese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Trevigliese?
Desenzano Calvina vs Trevigliese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Stelle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coriano1
Crema0
Rovato Vertovese2
Sant'Angelo0
Sasso Marconi Zola1
Piacenza2
Cittadella Vis Modena2
Pro Sesto1
Pro Palazzolo2
Correggese0