Double chanceDesenzano Calvina or draw ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Desenzano Calvina vs Crema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Serie D Girone D brings Desenzano Calvina against Crema at Stadio Tre Stelle. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Desenzano Calvina 1.4 xG, Crema 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Desenzano Calvina 56%, draw 26%, Crema 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Desenzano Calvina to win (56%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Crema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Desenzano Calvina56%fair 1.78 · @1.43
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @4.10
Crema18%fair 5.48 · @6.78
2.26Expected goals
1.42Desenzano Calvina xG
0.84Crema xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.4 – 0.8 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win✗
56%
1.78
1.43
Double chance
Desenzano Calvina or draw✓
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Crema +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Desenzano Calvina to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Recent results
Desenzano Calvina – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Sant'Angelo
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Crema – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Crema.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
Our pick is Desenzano Calvina to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Crema 18%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Crema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
Desenzano Calvina vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Stelle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Piacenza4
Tuttocuoio0
Rovato Vertovese0
Sasso Marconi Zola0
Imolese0
Trevigliese1
Pro Palazzolo1
Sangiuliano City1