Desenzano Calvina v Cittadella Vis Modena Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✓49% · @1.68

Double chanceDesenzano Calvina or draw ✓79% · fair 1.26

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.09

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.74

Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Desenzano Calvina v Cittadella Vis Modena in the Serie D Girone D, played at Stadio Tre Stelle.

Current form

Desenzano Calvina, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pro Sesto, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Cittadella Vis Modena, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Crema, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Desenzano Calvina, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Cittadella Vis Modena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Desenzano Calvina 1.2 xG, Cittadella Vis Modena 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Desenzano Calvina 49%, draw 30%, Cittadella Vis Modena 21%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.09.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Cittadella Vis Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Desenzano Calvina49%fair 2.02 · @1.68

Draw30%fair 3.36 · @3.50

Cittadella Vis Modena21%fair 4.80 · @4.74

2.01Expected goals

1.21Desenzano Calvina xG

0.80Cittadella Vis Modena xG

50%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

0–013%

1–113%

0–111%

2–010%

2–18%

From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.2 – 0.8 Cittadella Vis Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Desenzano Calvina to win ✓	49%	2.02	1.68
Double chance	Desenzano Calvina or draw ✓	79%	1.26	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	1.99	2.09
Draw no bet	Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet) ✓	70%	1.42	–
Asian handicap	Cittadella Vis Modena +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.07
First team to score	Desenzano Calvina to score first ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina ✓	26%	3.81	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.74	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Desenzano Calvina to win ✓

49%

2.02

1.68

Double chance

Desenzano Calvina or draw ✓

79%

1.26

–

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

50%

1.99

2.09

Draw no bet

Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet) ✓

70%

1.42

–

Asian handicap

Cittadella Vis Modena +1 (Asian handicap)

73%

1.37

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

63%

1.58

1.36

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

62%

1.61

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

80%

1.24

1.22

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

91%

1.10

1.07

First team to score

Desenzano Calvina to score first ✓

52%

1.92

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

49%

2.02

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina ✓

26%

3.81

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

12.74

–

Recent results

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Cittadella Vis Modena.

Serie D Girone D table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	11	9	1	1	+19	28
2	Lentigione	11	7	3	1	+8	24
3	Pro Patria	11	6	3	2	+7	21
4	Castellanzese	11	6	1	4	+8	19
5	USD Casatese	11	6	1	4	+1	19
6	Pro Sesto	11	5	3	3	+12	18
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Solbiatese	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Sant'Angelo	11	4	3	4	0	15
10	Crema	11	4	3	4	-3	15
11	Città di Varese	11	3	5	3	+4	14
12	Pavia	11	3	5	3	+3	14
13	Correggese	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Varesina	11	2	5	4	-2	11
15	Coriano	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Pontedera	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	Arconatese	11	1	3	7	-15	6
18	Oltrepò	11	1	2	8	-19	5

Team

Pts

+19

+12

Cittadella Vis Modena

-3

-7

-2

-5

-16

-15

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Cittadella Vis Modena 21%.

How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Cittadella Vis Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Stelle.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

15 Mar	@ Pro Sesto	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs Crema	0–0	D
22 Feb	@ Sant'Angelo	2–1	W

15 Mar	@ Crema	0–0	D
22 Feb	@ Trevigliese	1–1	D
15 Feb	vs Pro Sesto	2–1	W

Desenzano Calvina v Cittadella Vis Modena: numbers & prediction