Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Serie D Girone D brings Progresso against Sasso Marconi Zola at Stadio Comunale Progresso. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Progresso, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sant'Angelo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sasso Marconi Zola, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Imolese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progresso 1.3 xG, Sasso Marconi Zola 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progresso 48%, draw 25%, Sasso Marconi Zola 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progresso 1–1 Sasso Marconi Zola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progresso48%fair 2.09 · @1.72
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Sasso Marconi Zola27%fair 3.71 · @4.30
2.49Expected goals
1.31Progresso xG
1.18Sasso Marconi Zola xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Progresso 1.3 – 1.2 Sasso Marconi Zola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progresso to win✓
48%
2.09
1.72
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.23
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Progresso (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Sasso Marconi Zola +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Progresso to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progresso / FT Progresso✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Recent results
Progresso – last 6
DWWLLD
26 Apr
@ Sant'Angelo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Lentigione
2–1
W
2 Apr
@ Tuttocuoio
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Piacenza
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Sangiuliano City
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Rovato Vertovese
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6
DWLLWD
26 Apr
vs Imolese
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Rovato Vertovese
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Lentigione
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Tuttocuoio
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Coriano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progresso and Sasso Marconi Zola.
What is the prediction for Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
On our numbers Progresso have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sasso Marconi Zola 27%.
How many goals will there be in Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our predicted score is Progresso 1–1 Sasso Marconi Zola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese1
Rovato Vertovese0