Value bet: Cassino to win @ 3.29 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNocerina to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.97
Cassino vs Nocerina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nocerina travel to face Cassino on Sunday 15 March in the Serie D Girone G, with Stadio Comunale Gino Salvetti the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cassino 1.2 xG, Nocerina 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cassino 33%, draw 27%, Nocerina 41%.
Price worth noting: Cassino to win @3.29 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (73%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cassino 0–1 Nocerina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cassino33%fair 3.04 · @3.29
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.25
Nocerina41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
2.40Expected goals
1.17Cassino xG
1.23Nocerina xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cassino 1.2 – 1.2 Nocerina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nocerina to win✓
41%
2.47
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Nocerina (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Cassino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Nocerina to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nocerina / FT Nocerina✓
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.97
–
Recent results
Cassino – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ USD Palmese
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nocerina – last 2
DD
22 Feb
@ Montespaccato
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Budoni
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cassino and Nocerina.
On our numbers Cassino have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nocerina 41%.
How many goals will there be in Cassino vs Nocerina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cassino vs Nocerina?
Our predicted score is Cassino 0–1 Nocerina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cassino vs Nocerina?
Cassino vs Nocerina (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Salvetti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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