Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.12
Nocerina vs Valmontone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nocerina welcome Valmontone to Stadio San Francesco for a Serie D Girone G fixture on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Nocerina, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cassino, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Valmontone, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Anzio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nocerina, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Valmontone.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nocerina 1.4 xG, Valmontone 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nocerina 48%, draw 27%, Valmontone 26%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nocerina 1–1 Valmontone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nocerina48%fair 2.10 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.35
Valmontone26%fair 3.89 · @4.24
2.56Expected goals
1.42Nocerina xG
1.14Valmontone xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Nocerina 1.4 – 1.1 Valmontone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nocerina to win✗
48%
2.10
1.80
Double chance
Nocerina or draw✓
74%
1.35
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Draw no bet
Nocerina (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Valmontone +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Nocerina to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nocerina / FT Nocerina✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.12
–
Recent results
Nocerina – last 3
WDD
15 Mar
@ Cassino
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Montespaccato
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Budoni
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Valmontone – last 3
DLL
15 Mar
vs Anzio
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Scafatese
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Trastevere
0–5
L
0.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nocerina and Valmontone.
What is the prediction for Nocerina vs Valmontone?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nocerina vs Valmontone?
On our numbers Nocerina have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Valmontone 26%.
How many goals will there be in Nocerina vs Valmontone?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nocerina vs Valmontone?
Our predicted score is Nocerina 1–1 Valmontone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nocerina vs Valmontone?
Nocerina vs Valmontone (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Francesco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Olbia0
Cassino0
Albalonga3
Latte Dolce1
USD Palmese1
Atletico Lodigiani0
Trastevere1
Ischia1
Budoni3
Real Monterotondo1
Montespaccato2
Sarrabus Ogliastra2