Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.78
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Sarrabus Ogliastra v Nocerina in the Serie D Girone G, played at Campo Sportivo Is Arranas.
Current form
Sarrabus Ogliastra, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Montespaccato, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Nocerina, last 4: DWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valmontone, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarrabus Ogliastra, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Nocerina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.3 xG, Nocerina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarrabus Ogliastra 39%, draw 28%, Nocerina 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Nocerina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarrabus Ogliastra39%fair 2.56 · @2.57
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
Nocerina33%fair 3.00 · @2.57
2.46Expected goals
1.34Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
1.13Nocerina xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.3 – 1.1 Nocerina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarrabus Ogliastra to win✗
39%
2.56
2.57
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Sarrabus Ogliastra (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Nocerina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sarrabus Ogliastra to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarrabus Ogliastra / FT Sarrabus Ogliastra✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.78
–
Recent results
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 4
DWWW
22 Mar
@ Montespaccato
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Albalonga
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Trastevere
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Anzio
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Nocerina – last 4
DWDD
22 Mar
vs Valmontone
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Cassino
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Montespaccato
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Budoni
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Nocerina.
What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?
On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nocerina 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?
Our predicted score is Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Nocerina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Is Arranas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.