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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarrabus Ogliastra v Nocerina: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone G · Italy · Campo Sportivo Is Arranas
0–0
FT
Sarrabus Ogliastra 39%Draw 28%Nocerina 33% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.13
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultSarrabus Ogliastra to win ✗39% · @2.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.78

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Sarrabus Ogliastra v Nocerina in the Serie D Girone G, played at Campo Sportivo Is Arranas.

Current form

Sarrabus Ogliastra, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Montespaccato, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Nocerina, last 4: DWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valmontone, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sarrabus Ogliastra, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Nocerina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.3 xG, Nocerina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarrabus Ogliastra 39%, draw 28%, Nocerina 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Nocerina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarrabus Ogliastra39%fair 2.56 · @2.57
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
Nocerina33%fair 3.00 · @2.57
2.46Expected goals
1.34Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
1.13Nocerina xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%

From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.3 – 1.1 Nocerina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarrabus Ogliastra to win ✗39%2.562.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.32
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betSarrabus Ogliastra (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapNocerina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreSarrabus Ogliastra to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarrabus Ogliastra / FT Sarrabus Ogliastra ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.78–

Recent results

Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 4

DWWW
22 Mar@ Montespaccato2–2D
15 Marvs Albalonga3–0W
22 Febvs Trastevere3–1W
15 Feb@ Anzio2–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Nocerina – last 4

DWDD
22 Marvs Valmontone1–1D
15 Mar@ Cassino1–0W
22 Feb@ Montespaccato0–0D
15 Febvs Budoni1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Nocerina.

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone G table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sarnese11821+1126
2Trastevere10532-118
3Albalonga11452+417
4Monastir11524+317
5Certosa V. Campagnano11524+317
6Unipomezia11443+416
7Anzio10442+416
8Afragolese11362+515
9Aranova11434-115
10Paganese11425+414
11Ossese11353014
12Città di Anagni11425-214
13Budoni11425-514
14Venafro11344-413
15Sarrabus Ogliastra11335-112
16Gelbison11326-811
17Latte Dolce11245-510
18Atletico Lodigiani11137-116

More Serie D Girone G predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?

On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nocerina 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?

Our predicted score is Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Nocerina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina?

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Is Arranas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.