Value bet: Sarrabus Ogliastra to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Monterotondo to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Real Monterotondo vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarrabus Ogliastra travel to face Real Monterotondo on Sunday 19 April in the Serie D Girone G, with Stadio Fausto Cecconi the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT.
Current form
Real Monterotondo, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olbia, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
Sarrabus Ogliastra, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nocerina, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarrabus Ogliastra, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Real Monterotondo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Monterotondo 1.4 xG, Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Monterotondo 40%, draw 25%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 36%.
Price worth noting: Sarrabus Ogliastra to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Monterotondo 1–2 Sarrabus Ogliastra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Monterotondo40%fair 2.52 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Sarrabus Ogliastra36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.77Expected goals
1.38Real Monterotondo xG
1.39Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Real Monterotondo 1.4 – 1.4 Sarrabus Ogliastra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Monterotondo to win✓
40%
2.52
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Real Monterotondo (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Real Monterotondo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sarrabus Ogliastra to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarrabus Ogliastra / FT Sarrabus Ogliastra✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Real Monterotondo – last 4
DLLL
2 Apr
@ Olbia
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Budoni
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs USD Palmese
1–5
L
15 Feb
@ Albalonga
3–5
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 5
DDWWW
29 Mar
vs Nocerina
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Montespaccato
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Albalonga
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Trastevere
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Anzio
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Monterotondo and Sarrabus Ogliastra.
What is the prediction for Real Monterotondo vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Real Monterotondo vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
On our numbers Real Monterotondo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarrabus Ogliastra 36%.
How many goals will there be in Real Monterotondo vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Monterotondo vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Our predicted score is Real Monterotondo 1–2 Sarrabus Ogliastra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Monterotondo vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Real Monterotondo vs Sarrabus Ogliastra (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fausto Cecconi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nocerina1
Flaminia1
Montespaccato1