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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gravina v Francavilla: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone H · Italy · Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino
Gravina 48%Draw 25%Francavilla 27% Expected goals 1.47 – 0.89
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultGravina to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24

Gravina vs Francavilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Gravina v Francavilla in the Serie D Girone H, played at Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino. In the table, Gravina are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Francavilla are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gravina 1.5 xG, Francavilla 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gravina 48%, draw 25%, Francavilla 27%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gravina 1–0 Francavilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gravina48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25
Francavilla27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
2.37Expected goals
1.47Gravina xG
0.89Francavilla xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Gravina 1.5 – 0.9 Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGravina to win ✓48%2.082.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betGravina (draw no bet) ✓64%1.55–
Asian handicapFrancavilla +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreGravina to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gravina / FT Gravina ✓30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.24–

Recent results

Gravina

No recent results on record.

Francavilla

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gravina and Francavilla.

Gravina vs Francavilla head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Virtus Francavilla11902+927
2Martina Franca11713+922
3Brindisi11704+621
4Gravina11551+720
5Turris11542+519
6Manfredonia11533+418
7Gladiator11533+118
8Fidelis Andria11524+117
9Bisceglie11506015
10USD Palmese11425-114
11Real Normanna11353-114
12Nocerina11416-213
13Real Forio 201411326-311
14Melfi11326-811
15Ebolitana11245-810
16Ischia11236-49
17Francavilla11227-68
18Nardò11236-97

More Serie D Girone H predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gravina vs Francavilla?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Gravina vs Francavilla?

On our numbers Gravina have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Francavilla 27%.

How many goals will there be in Gravina vs Francavilla?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gravina vs Francavilla?

Our predicted score is Gravina 1–0 Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gravina vs Francavilla?

Gravina vs Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.