Value bet: Sambiase to win @ 3.50 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSambiase to win ✗39% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Sambiase vs Igea Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Serie D Girone I brings Sambiase against Igea Virtus at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sambiase are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 11 matches; Igea Virtus are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sambiase 1.5 xG, Igea Virtus 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sambiase 39%, draw 25%, Igea Virtus 36%.
Price worth noting: Sambiase to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sambiase 1–1 Igea Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sambiase39%fair 2.55 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.90
Igea Virtus36%fair 2.79 · @2.05
2.67Expected goals
1.51Sambiase xG
1.16Igea Virtus xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sambiase 1.5 – 1.2 Igea Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sambiase to win✗
39%
2.55
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Sambiase (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Igea Virtus +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sambiase to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Sambiase
No recent results on record.
Igea Virtus
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambiase and Igea Virtus.
What is the prediction for Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
On our numbers Sambiase have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Igea Virtus 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
Our predicted score is Sambiase 1–1 Igea Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
Sambiase vs Igea Virtus (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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